Mutual Fund Trends & Research Newsletter

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email: tom@funds-newsletter.com

Investment Newsletter #47 (May 2, 2001)
Tom Madell, Ph.D. Copyright 2001

Have Your Returns Been So-So Lately?

In contrast to

please examine the following tables showing all the stock funds we have featured in this publication since its inception:

In spite of the generally poor returns for many (although not all) stock funds during the last year, when we examine how a long-term holder of our suggested funds fared, the picture is almost unanimously quite the opposite!

Note: All returns are thru 5-1-01, except the 10 year return which is thru 4-30-01. If a fund has not been in existence for 5 or 10 years, the figure shown is for the life of the fund.

Vanguard Stock Funds

Fund/Category

Year-to-date

1 Year

5 Year

10 Year

Vanguard 500 Index,
Large Blend

-3.8%

-12.7%

15.8%

15.2%

Vanguard Extended Market Index,
Mid-cap Blend

-5.5

-19.5

9.5

13.1

Vanguard International Growth,
Foreign (Large Blend)

-6.6

-14.8

6.9

8.8

Vanguard Windsor,
Large Value
+6.3

+21.2

14.3

15.1

Vanguard Growth & Income,
Large Value

-3.5-11.5

16.3

15.6

Vanguard Small Cap Index,
Small Blend

+1.8-3.8

9.3

13.3

Vanguard Index Europe,
Foreign (Large Blend)

-9.5

-13.0

12.6

12.1

Vanguard Index Pacific,
Foreign (Large Value)

+0.4

-20.9

-5.0

0.4

Vanguard Explorer,
Small Growth

-0.3

-2.3

12.2

14.9

Vanguard REIT Index,
Real Estate

+2.0

+15.8

9.9

NA

Janus Stock Funds

Fund/Category

Year-to-date

1 Year

5 Year

10 Year

Janus Fund,
Large Growth
-5.5-24.1

17.3

15.7

Janus Venture,
Small/Mid-cap Growth

-9.2

-38.3

9.5

12.9

Janus Overseas,
Foreign (Large Growth)

-8.9

-28.8

16.7

17.0

T Rowe Price Stock Funds

Fund/Category

Year-to-date

1 Year

5 Year

10 Year

T Rowe Price Europe,
Foreign (Large Growth)

-10.0

-13.4

11.5

11.5

T Rowe Price Value,
Mid-cap Value

+5.7

+18.5

15.7

20.5

Fidelity Stock Funds

Fund/Category

Year-to-date

1 Year

5 Year

10 Year

Fidelity Contra,
Large Growth

-8.4

-14.7

14.1

17.0

Fidelity Growth & Income,
Large Blend

-4.7

-6.2

14.2

15.4

Fidelity Magellan,
Large Blend

-3.4

-13.8

14.9

15.5

Fidelity Extended Market Index,
Mid-cap Blend

-5.9

-19.7

4.4

NA

Fidelity Low Price Stock,
Small Value

+11.6

+26.9

15.2

17.5

Miscellaneous Stock Funds

Fund/Category

Year-to-date

1 Year

5 Year

10 Year

ICAP Equity,
Large Value

+2.1

+8.9

16.4

20.3

American Century Internat. Growth,
Foreign (Large Growth)

-12.4

-23.2

13.4

13.4

Franklin/Templeton Foreign A,
Foreign (Large Value)

-1.9

+3.4

7.9

9.9

TIAA-CREF Growth Equity,
Large Growth

-10.9

-33.2

8.5

NA

Tweedy-Browne Global Value,
Foreign (Mid-cap Value)

+0.6

+7.4

15.5

15.4

Evergreen Fund Y,
Large Blend

-8.4

-20.3

7.2

10.7

Note: We no longer recommend the Evergreen Fund (any class) due to a management change.

Now look at the the following table showing all the bond funds we have featured in this publication also since our inception:

Fund/Category

Year-to-date

1 Year

5 Year

10 Year

Vanguard Long-Term Treasury,
Long Govt.

-0.8%

+11.3%

8.6%

9.0%

Fidelity Intermediate Bond,
Short Corp.

+3.2

11.9

6.8

7.1

PIMCO Total Return Inst.,
Intermed Corp

+2.2

+12.5

8.3

8.8

Vanguard High Yield Corporate,
Intermed Corp

+4.1

+4.0

6.4

9.5

Vanguard Long-Term Corporate,
Long Corp

+2.8

+13.5

7.6

8.8

American Century Target 2015,
Long Govt

-3.2

+12.5

10.7

11.6

American Century Target 2025,
Long Govt

-7.8

+6.4

8.4

NA

Vanguard California Ins. Long-Term,
Long Muni

-0.9

+10.6

6.6

7.2

Vanguard Short-Term Treasury,
Short Govt

+3.0

+10.5

6.4

6.2

American Century International Bond,
Intermed Corp

-4.3

+0.6

0.7

4.5

Here too while the news is decidedly mixed when we look at the year-to-date returns, the 1, 5, and 10 yr. returns are almost unanimously good, and certainly are better than what you can get through money markets or CDs.

So, if you want to get the rewards that funds usually provide to investors, you need to stay with good funds over the years. We feel that only in isolated and relatively rare cases can the average investor equal or better these kind of long-term results by jumping in and out of their funds for shorter periods of time. Unfortunately, all too often, this is what a good many fund investors still do.

Keep in mind that we do not argue that you should invest in these exact funds; not all are even open to new or non-institutional investors. There are plenty of other excellent funds in the same category offered by these same or other fund companies. These are merely the ones that we have researched down thru the years and feel are well managed, or in the case of index funds, have substantially low costs.

We will be happy to provide you with free advice (for a limited time only) on setting up or maintaining your fund portfolio for good long-term results. Just email your questions to funds-newsletter@att.net. This is an absolutely free service. No kidding!

Tom Madell, Ph.D.

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